New project initiations per week, by AI-integration regime
A single practitioner's project-initiation rate across four consecutive regimes of AI integration, from clipboard-mediated copy-paste with chat AI in 2023–2024, through direct repository access in early 2026, to full agentic coding with Claude Code from March 2026 onward. The acceleration is not a rate change; it is a regime change.
Unaided work. Manual research, coding, drafting. No chat AI in regular workflow.
Chat AI via clipboard. Hand-carried context between assistant and codebase. Bottleneck: human cycle.
Assistant writes directly to repositories via MCP. Context persists across sessions. Clipboard removed from loop.
Agentic coding assistant with filesystem and terminal access. Bottleneck shifts from implementation to decision.
| Era | Weeks | Projects | Rate (proj/wk) | Cumulative |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pre-AI | 104 | 6 | 0.06 | 6 |
| Copy-paste | 13 | 3 | 0.23 | 9 |
| Direct integration | 8 | 4 | 0.50 | 13 |
| Full agency | 7.5 | 20 | 2.67 | 33 |
Data current as of 23 april 2026. Full-agency window covers 1 march – 23 april 2026. Project count smoothed across full window to remove catch-up registration effects.
Methodology: project-initiation events tallied from Mnemos conversational record and cross-checked against git first-commit dates across 37 active repositories.